Monthly Weather Review
(in press)
The first case occurred during the Australian Cold Fronts Research Programme (CFRP) with mesoscale data available to verify the model simulation. The results indicate that the movement of the synoptic cold front was retarded when a prefrontal cool change developed in response to the evaporation of the grid-resolved precipitation. However, the cooling ahead of the front effectively accelerated the cool change, more in line with observations.
The second case involved the prognoses of a cool change crossing Victoria in southeast Australia during a potential bushfire day. In this case, most of the precipitation occurred along and behind the cold front. With precipitation evaporation, the cool change accelerated several hundred kilometers further in 36 hours than in the simulation without precipitation evaporation.